NFL fantasy info

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Andre Johnson -- Texans (SI.com Rank: 1)
RISK ADJUSTED RANK: No. 2

Before you start, I don't hate the Houston Texans. In fact, they're a team I really enjoy watching and one that feels to me like the Chicago Bulls when they were beating their head against the wall that was the Detroit Pistons. Once all the pieces were in place, we know what happened. So just because all of the pieces in Houston are risky doesn't mean they're bad or won't be ready to knock the Colts out of their position in the AFC South. What it means is that to do it, they'll have to be healthy.

Unlike Arian Foster, Johnson isn't easily replaceable. Skilled WR1s are hard to find and building up a rapport with a QB is hard to do. Johnson has had leg injuries during his career, which is about the only thing that's held him back. Healthy, he's a no doubt No. 1 and a legitimate mid-first pick in most leagues. It's just that he's never really been healthy for long enough to say, "Yes, I'm going to get value out of that high a pick." I'm not saying don't pick him, I'm saying assess the risk and accept it before you do.

Calvin Johnson -- Lions (SI.com Rank: 2)
RISK ADJUSTED RANK: No. 3

Johnson has become an elite WR without the benefit of a full season of health or a full season with a real QB throwing him passes. He's had no running game, no good WR on the other side, and ... well, here we are, talking about taking Johnson off the board no later than the top of the third round. Johnson's a big-bodied WR who's a red zone target if nothing else. Even hurt, he's still tall. If we knew he'd be healthy -- and that Matthew Stafford would do the same -- Johnson is an elite level guy. There's just enough uncertainty here that he slides back a notch. Saying he's the third best WR in fantasy is hardly an insult. Given the other issues, it's a heck of a compliment.

Hakeem Nicks -- Giants (SI.com Rank: 6)
RISK ADJUSTED RANK: No. 10

Some players are "if" players, like Calvin Johnson. Others, like Nicks are "but" players. Nicks sneaks into the top tier of WRs more on what he did in the absence of other options than on the skills he has. Nicks, not unlike Miles Austin, took an opportunity and ran with it. Nicks dealt with compartment syndrome last season, an unusual leg injury that shouldn't recur ... and here's where the "but" comes in. It's always something with Nicks. Something unusual, something small, something nagging, something that keeps him just out of the elite level or at least out of the consistently elite level. If Nicks can stay healthy, he'll become an "and" player, as in "Fitzgerald, Johnson and Nicks."

DeSean Jackson -- Eagles (SI.com Rank: 14)
RISK ADJUSTED RANK: No. 16

The 175 pounds that the Eagles list Jackson at appears generous, according to most who see him, but Jackson tested taller (6-feet) and heavier (178) at the Combine. Granted, he bulked up to answer questions heading into the draft, but Jackson's done nothing but answer questions as an NFL WR1. Jackson's size hasn't contributed to his injury risk. The concussion he suffered was brutal, but those happen. The difference between the first tier and where we find Jackson is that his TDs have to come on the deep dramatic plays rather than the red zone targets. Unless Riley Cooper becomes a legitimate option, the Eagles don't have a big go-to red zone guy. Jackson's late-season leg issues appeared minor and he's shown his trademark quickness in camp.

Wes Welker -- Patriots (SI.com Rank: 15)
RISK ADJUSTED RANK: No. 17

Welker came back from ACL surgery last year and had no physical issues. But his comments all year long make it clear he didn't have full confidence in the knee until late in the season, which is typical. With more time off and a full camp, Welker should have that confidence back, which should make him a step better. He'll get the same types of targets, though there's a risk that a better receiving corps will let Tom Brady spread it around a bit more. That would help Welker's yardage, but not his totals. In PPR leagues, Welker's right on the cusp of staying in the second tier. Otherwise, the risk that he doesn't get the step back means you should let someone else draft him too high.

Percy Harvin -- Vikings (SI.com Rank: 16)
RISK ADJUSTED RANK: No. 39

Harvin killed some fantasy teams last year. His last-minute scratches befuddled many, but migraines are extremely unpredictable. This offseason, Harvin said that he'd had no migraines since January ... precisely the time he stopped most activity and stopped getting hit. It might be coincidence, but if the migraines begin again, we'll know that we'll never see a full season of Harvin. He's essentially the WR1 in Minnesota and should have a better QB throwing him the ball. The downside is that you can't count on him to be there, and that will force you to both overdraft to get him and go four deep with WRs on a standard roster. The risk is simply too high to draft him on choice.

Kenny Britt Titans (SI.com Rank: 23)
RISK ADJUSTED RANK: No. 35

Kasey Kasem needs to announce this big drop on the chart, but do not find yourself calling Britt's name on draft day. Even with a solidified QB situation, Britt's history of hamstring problems and conditioning issues aren't going away. Worse, he showed up with a hamstring problem at camp and hasn't begun full practices. Britt's too good for Matt Hasselbeck to ignore -- many of Britt's numbers compare well with the elite WRs -- but the Titans do have other options and limited patience. Don't draft Britt too high, but even on the downside, he should be a red zone target.

Sidney Rice -- Seahawks (SI.com Rank: 26)
RISK ADJUSTED RANK: No. 24

Rice didn't wait to see how he might fit in with Donovan McNabb and jetted to Seattle. He'll have a familiar guy tossing it to him there, with Tarvaris Jackson the new "starter." It doesn't matter for Rice, a big-bodied burner who was sidetracked last season by hip surgery and then a QB that couldn't get him the deep up-ball he lives on. Rice should be fully healthy and a great comfort target for Jackson, especially early. His small totals from last year plus the misunderstood injury make Rice a real sleeper if you believe at all in Pete Carroll's offense.

Marques Colston -- Saints (SI.com Rank: 27)
RISK ADJUSTED RANK: No. 36

Colston has a perfect comparable for how he should come back from microfracture surgery: himself. Colston is the first known NFL player to have microfracture on both knees. He came back pretty well last time, but just "pretty well." He kept the red zone targets, but Robert Meachem emerged as a contender for targets and huge TE Jimmy Graham is being groomed as a red zone monster. Colston is clearly sliding down the board and I'd expect him to put up numbers 15 percent off last year's totals.

Austin Collie -- Colts (SI.com Rank: 39)
RISK ADJUSTED RANK: No. 37

I don't get why people are having such a tough time with the word "susceptibility." Collie became the poster boy for the concussion debate as he lay motionless on the field last year and then was cleared to return by the Colts despite still experiencing post-concussion symptoms. (The Colts followed all guidelines, but Collie's light sensitivity should have been a bigger red flag.) Coming into '11, Collie is being watched closely and is probably one more big hit away from hanging it up or being forced to sit. This is more about what happens if he gets the hit rather than the likelihood that he's going to take that hit. Collie's susceptibility -- the chance that he gets hit hard enough and in the right way to cause a concussion -- is no different from it was before his first concussion. He runs the same routes and plays the same role in the Colts offense. If anything, there might be a change in the Colts (and Peyton Manning's) willingness to send Collie on crossing routes that might take him into big hits. Don't mistake the worries about what could happen if Collie is hit with the belief that he's more likely to be hit. That distinction is why Collie is slightly undervalued this season.
RISK ADJUSTED WR RANKINGS

(List is based on SI Rankings, as of the date of this article, and adjusted for risk based on that projection. This is not my suggestion for a draft list. I only go as deep as is necessary to get 10 interesting risk/injury cases.)

-- TIER ONE --

Larry Fitzgerald
Andre Johnson
Calvin Johnson
Miles Austin
Roddy White
Greg Jennings

-- TIER TWO --

Mike Wallace
Reggie Wayne
Brandon Lloyd
Hakeem Nicks
Dez Bryant
Jeremy Maclin
Santonio Holmes
Mario Manningham
Dwayne Bowe
DeSean Jackson

-- TIER THREE --

Wes Welker
Brandon Marshall
Vincent Jackson
Mike Williams
Steve Johnson
Robert Meacham
Anquan Boldin
Sidney Rice
Braylon Edwards
Steve Smith
Santana Moss
Lance Moore
Johnny Knox
Jacoby Ford
Pierre Garcon
Julio Jones
A.J. Green
Roy Williams
Kenny Britt
Marques Colston
Austin Collie
Michael Crabtree
Percy Harvin
Arrelious Benn

Read more: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/will_carroll/08/10/wr.health.report/index.html#ixzz1VAfXZrHQ

Evo jedan mock draft jednog nazovi stručnjaka ...birao je sa 4 pozicije

Round 1: RB Chris Johnson

Going with a holdout running back is a risk, but Adrian Peterson and Johnson are just too talented to not go No. 1 or 2. Seeing Jamaal Charles go before both was surprising. Charles' schedule is just too tough down the fantasy stretch. The Chiefs have one of the toughest schedules in the NFL and it features all of the elite run defenses in crunch time. Arian Foster was great a year ago, but you're not drafting last year's fantasy team -- you're drafting for what will be in 2011.

Round 2: QB Tom Brady

It is surprising that few, if any, fantasy pundits are ranking Brady as the No. 1 quarterback. He was last year. The supporting cast will improved -- with the development of the young tight ends and Brandon Tate (Who? Yes, remember the name.). And we don't even have to mention Chad Ochocino, but we will anyway. Brady will throw for the most touchdowns and fewest picks, and that should make him the highest scoring -- and most consistent -- player in fantasy this season.

Round 3: WR Reggie Wayne

Another personal statement: This writer might be the only one that likes him over Greg Jennings. In a position of turmoil and turnover at the top, Wayne is easily the most consistent. Minus a double-digit touchdown total, Wayne was second in receptions and yards receiving in a down year. He is due for a TDs rebound.

Round 4: WR Jeremy Maclin

This third-year wide receiver breakout will take a huge step into the elite at the position. He isn't even the No. 1 option on his own team with DeSean Jackson, but Maclin still could outscore everyone at the position when it is all said and done.

Round 5: RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis

The law firm of BJGE is coming off 1,000 yards and 13 TDs; only Foster had more TDs at running back. BJGE wasn't even a starter from Day 1 a year ago. This kind of production is rarely found this late at this position.

Round 6: RB Ryan Grant

A healthy Grant in that Packers offense has third-round value. He still will have to prove healthy and beat out James Starks. It is the belief here Grant will be fine, if not great, and Starks was a postseason flash in the pan because of circumstance.

Round 7: WR Mario Manningham

This 25-year old keeps getting better and enters season as Giants' No. 2 receiver for first time in Year 4. Steve Smith (knee) remains unhealthy and unsigned, and Manningham performed like a No. 1 fantasy starter at the position when he was getting starts for the Giants. He could be a real steal for owners, especially with the Giants expecting to play a lot of shootouts.

Round 8: QB Eli Manning

There was no reason to pick a second passer after picking Brady early, but there was also no reason 4,000-plus yards and 30-plus TDs should still be available in Round 8. This was merely a value pick. He could be trade bait for the first team to lose its quarterback.

Round 9: RB Brandon Jacobs

His running style and injury history no longer make him a viable fantasy starter, but he will remain a TD vulture. We needed another back at this point, but there wasn't much else to like on the board here. This was a third consecutive Giant picked, but none of them were drafted as a fantasy starter. They all represent good value relative to draft position.

Round 10: TE Marcedes Lewis

Apparently he is a name easy to forget among tight ends. He shouldn't be. It is a sign you can wait, wait and wait some more if you don't like one of the elite at this position. Lewis tied for a TE-leading 10 TDs and he is his team's primary threat in passing game -- in Round 10? Sold.

Round 11: D/ST Eagles

Had to jump on the hype bandwagon here. Nnamdi Asomugha and great cover corners will mean blitz, blitz, blitz, turnover then touchdown. This defense might give up points, if only because the Eagles offense is going to generate a lot of garbage time, but the turnovers, defensive scores and Jackson returning kicks in the clutch should make this a great unit.

Round 12: WR Deion Branch

Missed out, barely, earlier on Ochocinco, but went with Brady's No. 3 wideout option in Branch. He has always played favorites with Branch and there should be some sneaky good weeks in this vet.

Round 13: RB Roy Helu

The Redskins are going to stink, seriously, raunchy stink. But the rookie Helu might not be bad by midseason. We needed another RB here, a young one, and the fourth-rounder from Nebraska has considerable upside once he knocks Ryan Torain out of the starting role.

Round 14: TE Aaron Hernandez

This was a pick that was ready to be made back in Round 10 with the Lewis pick. Hernandez is going to be a great late-round sleeper. Hip surgery knocks him down, as does the presence of Rob Gronkowski, but Hernandez is the famed "tight end trapped in a wide receiver's body." Oh, having Brady sprinkle the ball to you down the seam -- with Ochocino working the outside and Wes Welker working underneath -- doesn't hurt either. Gronk is the 1-yard TD guy and BJGE will rack up the yards between the 20s. Wow, this is going to be one tough Pats offense to stop; hence, all the picks spent on Pats.

Round 15: WR Steve Breaston

Breaston was a bust last year with bad quarterback in Arizona, and the Chiefs sorely need someone to take pressure off Dwayne Bowe. Breaston isn't a top-flight option, but the value this late makes him a potential sleeper.

Round 16: K Nick Folk

He wasn't the first (Stephen Gostkowski), second (Mason Crosby) or third (Adam Vinatieri) choice by this team, but a great defense, plus a great running game, plus a mediocre quarterback will equal ample field-goal attempts. Those other three will score more of points because of the PATs, but Folk will get the most field goals.

And one final thought ...

In hindsight, while I rank Brady the No. 1 passer and tout him as fantasy's No. 1 scorer again, he might not have to get picked in Round 2 at all. That Pats offense is going to be a machine almost as good as it was in Brady's record-breaking year, but perception elsewhere is Brady might be as low as the fifth-best QB. It was a chance to pick up a sleeper.

Also, Eli Manning and Jay Cutler went surprisingly late. It highlights a potential opportunity at the quarterback position, like we outlined in the QB tiers column last week. That Manning and Cutler just don't get the respect they deserve in fantasy circles. Picking the pair of them late and loading up on RBs and WRs could make for a championship-caliber roster.
Round-by-round mock draft

Read more: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/eric_mack/08/09/fantasy-football-mock-draft/index.html#ixzz1VAgiB5hq

dosta detaljno objašnjena TE ponuda

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/eric_mack/08/10/fantasy-football-tight-ends/index.html?sct=nfl_bf1_a7